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The bond market is the largest, most sophisticated financial market in the world — and right now it’s flashing a warning that most investors are completely ignoring. With the 10-year Treasury yield at its highest since July 2025, short-term inflation breakevens above 4.6%, and traders now pricing a greater-than-50% probability of a rate HIKE in 2026, this is not the inflation story you’re hearing in mainstream media.
In this 25-minute documentary, we go deep on the data: what the Fed’s own dot plot is really saying (16 of 19 FOMC members see upside inflation risk — zero see downside), why a ceasefire in the Iran conflict won’t fix the structural inflation problem (tariffs, deficits, sticky services, housing), and how the current macro setup rhymes uncomfortably with the 1970s stagflation era. We also walk through exactly what smart money is doing right now — and give you three concrete actions you can take this week to protect your purchasing power.
